The Probability of Relegation according to league position at Christmas in the Premier League

Kan-Thai Ling


This paper analyses a team’s probability of relegation if the team is either 18th, 19th or 20th in the Premier League on Christmas Day. The paper then discusses a team’s probability of relegation from each league position on Christmas and investigates the hypothesis that a lower league position at Christmas means a higher probability of relegation from the Premier League at the end of the season.

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