The Probability of Relegation in the First Three Seasons in The Premier League

Ryan Alty


This paper will offer an insight into the probabilities of newly promoted English Premier League teams suffering relegation within three years of being promoted to the top flight of English football. This will be done by investigating possible trends of promoted teams and checking whether they are likely to return to the second tier of English Football within the given time period, based on results over the past 22 seasons.

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